Information Resilience
How disinformation, foreign influence, and manipulative narratives exploit existing social and institutional vulnerabilities.
Explore area →Independent regional analysis
Understanding resilience in a changing region
Independent analysis of information threats, political narratives, and security developments across Eastern Europe and the Black Sea region.
RomaniaUkraineRepublic of MoldovaBlack Sea region
Research areasConnected questions.
Connected questions.
Regional perspective.
ERRN examines the conditions that shape how societies understand, absorb, and respond to political and security pressure.
Democratic Security
How political polarization, declining trust, and institutional weaknesses affect the ability of democratic societies to respond to external pressure.
Explore area →Regional Developments
Analysis of political and security developments connecting Romania, Ukraine, the Republic of Moldova, and the wider Black Sea region.
Explore area →Current assessment
What we are watching
Three dynamics shaping the information and security environment across the region.
Political distrust as an entry point
External narratives gain traction when they reinforce existing dissatisfaction with institutions rather than introduce entirely new grievances.
Related analysis ↗Resilience beyond content correction
The ability to withstand information pressure depends on institutional credibility, social trust, and communication capacity, not only on identifying false claims.
Related perspective ↗A connected regional environment
Political and information developments in Romania, Ukraine, and Moldova increasingly influence one another through shared media spaces and security concerns.
Related brief ↗Featured research
View all research →Latest analysis
Democratic SecurityAnalysis23 September 2026
Moldova must document every use of its new emergency powers
Moldova’s emergency powers begin before a nationwide shortage has occurred. Their credibility will depend on a public record connecting each intervention to a verified trigger, defined duration and measurable result.
Read publication ↗
Regional DevelopmentsAnalysis21 September 2026
A wider Black Sea risk zone expands insurance review. Lost port access is unproven
On 16 September, the London marine insurance market expanded its listed area to almost the entire Black Sea. More voyages may now require reporting and contract-specific negotiation, while evidence of reduced access to Ukrainian or Romanian ports has yet to emerge.
Read publication ↗
Democratic SecurityAnalysis20 September 2026
Russia plans another Transnistria vote outside Moldova’s supervision
Russia plans to operate 15 State Duma polling stations in Transnistria despite Moldova authorising voting only at the Russian embassy in Chișinău. If opened, the stations would allow Moscow to conduct an official procedure beyond Moldovan supervision, but they would not change Transnistria’s legal status or prove annexation or voter coercion.
Read publication ↗
Regional DevelopmentsAnalysis19 September 2026
The Carpathian Eight starts with annual summits and no delivery body
Leaders agreed to meet annually and coordinate across an announced eight-country format. The declaration does not identify who will select, fund or track cross-border projects.
Read publication ↗About ERRN
Independent research for a region under pressure.
The Eastern Resilience Research Network is an independent research initiative examining information resilience, democratic security, and regional developments in Eastern Europe and the Black Sea region.
We connect political, social, and security analysis to understand how vulnerabilities emerge – and what meaningful resilience requires.
Read about our approach →ContributorsResearch grounded in
Meet our contributors →Research grounded in
regional context
Mara Ionescu
Research ContributorInformation resilience, foreign influence narratives, and regional security in Romania, Ukraine, and the Republic of Moldova.
Bogdan Stegarescu
Research ContributorThe Republic of Moldova, the post-Soviet space, and institutional resilience under external pressure.
Alexia Stancu
Research ContributorHuman rights, refugee protection and the challenges faced by vulnerable groups.
Andrei Joroveanu
Research ContributorHybrid threats, security developments in Eastern Europe, AI, terrorism and international affairs.